SATURDAY, 16 MAY 2026
Liga Portugal | 17:00
Kickoff: 18:00 GMT · 20:00 EAT · 18:00 WAT
ARO
Arouca?:?
TON
TondelaWin Probability
Home Win %36.8%
Draw %46.4%
Away Win %16.7%
Over 2.5 Goals %19.1%
Match Analysis
Draw is most likely at 46%.
Low scoring expected. Over 2.5 only 19%.
Our AI model favours Arouca.
Low goal expectation. Under 2.5 more likely.
Play 1X for value — covers the close margins.
Confident pick from the model.
I would play this as 1X (Home or Draw) just to be sure
Form & Stats
Arouca — Last 10 Matches
W
3-1D
2-2L
1-2W
1-0L
0-11.3
Goals/Game
1.2
Conceded/Game
30%
Clean Sheets
50%
BTTS Rate
vs Gil Vicente
1-3W
vs Santa Clara
2-2D
vs Alverca
2-1L
vs Estrela Amadora
1-0W
vs Sporting Braga
1-0L
Tondela — Last 10 Matches
W
2-0W
1-0D
2-2L
0-2L
0-21.0
Goals/Game
1.4
Conceded/Game
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS Rate
vs Moreirense
2-0W
vs Casa Pia
0-1W
vs Sporting CP
2-2D
vs Nacional
0-2L
vs Porto
2-0L
AI Model Accuracy
Historical precision for this prediction type
Home Win69%
Draw39%
Away Win53%
Risk Level
Low Risk
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