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AI Top Pick

Home Win or Draw (1X)

HIGH CONFIDENCEHIGH RISK

THURSDAY, 16 APRIL 2026

Europe League | 19:00

Kickoff: 20:00 GMT · 22:00 EAT · 20:00 WAT

Win Probability

Home Win %35.5%
Draw %29.5%
Away Win %35.0%
Over 2.5 Goals %2.6%

Match Analysis

Aston Villa are favourites at 35%.
Very tight game. Both sides are close in the numbers.
Low scoring expected. Over 2.5 only 3%.
Our AI model favours Aston Villa.
Low goal expectation. Under 2.5 more likely.
Play 1X for value — covers the close margins.
Risky pick — could go either way.
Risky Game as both teams are strong. But Aston Villa should win this with 35.48% chance

Form & Stats

Aston Villa — Last 10 Matches

D
2-2
W
4-0
L
1-2
L
0-1
L
0-1

2.1

Goals/Game

1.1

Conceded/Game

30%

Clean Sheets

50%

BTTS Rate

vs Burnley
2-2D
vs Nottingham Forest
4-0W
vs Tottenham Hotspur
1-2L
vs Nottingham Forest
1-0L
vs Fulham
1-0L

Bologna — Last 10 Matches

W
3-2
D
0-0
L
0-2
L
0-2
L
0-4

1.2

Goals/Game

1.9

Conceded/Game

20%

Clean Sheets

40%

BTTS Rate

vs Napoli
2-3W
vs Cagliari
0-0D
vs Roma
0-2L
vs Juventus
2-0L
vs Aston Villa
4-0L

Head to Head — Last 2 Meetings

2

Aston Villa

0

Draws

0

Bologna

16 Apr 26Aston Villa 4-0 Bologna
9 Apr 26Bologna 1-3 Aston Villa

AI Model Accuracy

Historical precision for this prediction type

Home Win67%
Draw36%
Away Win48%

Risk Level

High Risk

Final Result

Aston Villa

4

Bologna

0

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How this prediction was generated|Data updated: 2026-05-13 18:29 UTC