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Home Win or Draw (1X) prediction for Gold Coast Knights vs Moreton City Excelsior

HIGH CONFIDENCEHIGH RISK

Npl Queensland

GCK
Gold Coast Knights
1X
Sat, 4 Jul · 06:15
MCE
Moreton City Excelsior

Win Probability

Home Win %39.3%
Draw %24.9%
Away Win %35.8%
Over 2.5 Goals %3.6%

Match Analysis

Gold Coast Knights are favourites at 39%.
Very tight game. Both sides are close in the numbers.
Low scoring expected. Over 2.5 only 4%.
Our AI model favours Gold Coast Knights.
Low goal expectation. Under 2.5 more likely.
Play 1X for value — covers the close margins.
Risky pick — could go either way.
Risky Game as both teams are strong. But Gold Coast Knights should win this with 39.29% chance

Form & Stats

Gold Coast Knights — Last 8 Matches

L
1-4
W
4-1
W
2-1
W
5-2
L
0-2

2.5

Goals/Game

1.6

Conceded/Game

13%

Clean Sheets

75%

BTTS Rate

vs Rochedale Rovers
4-1L
vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
4-1W
vs Magic United
2-1W
vs Olympic FC Brisbane
5-2W
vs Peninsula Power
2-0L

Moreton City Excelsior — Last 10 Matches

W
1-0
D
2-2
W
5-2
D
0-0
L
2-5

2.6

Goals/Game

1.6

Conceded/Game

30%

Clean Sheets

60%

BTTS Rate

vs Gold Coast United
0-1W
vs Wynnum Wolves FC
2-2D
vs Rochedale Rovers
2-5W
vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
0-0D
vs Brisbane City
2-5L

AI Model Accuracy

Historical precision for this prediction type

Home Win59%
Draw28%
Away Win51%

Risk Level

High Risk

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How this prediction was generated|Data updated: 2026-07-01 04:32 UTC