SATURDAY, 16 MAY 2026
Kenya Premier League | 12:00
Kickoff: 13:00 GMT · 15:00 EAT · 13:00 WAT
MS
Mara Sugar?:?
MU
Mathare UnitedWin Probability
Home Win %34.5%
Draw %33.7%
Away Win %31.8%
Over 2.5 Goals %7.0%
Match Analysis
Mara Sugar are favourites at 35%.
Very tight game. Both sides are close in the numbers.
Low scoring expected. Over 2.5 only 7%.
Our AI model favours Mara Sugar.
Low goal expectation. Under 2.5 more likely.
Play 1X for value — covers the close margins.
Risky pick — could go either way.
Risky Game as both teams are strong. But Mara Sugar should win this with 34.5% chance
Form & Stats
Mara Sugar — Last 10 Matches
L
1-2W
1-0W
1-0W
1-0D
1-11.0
Goals/Game
0.7
Conceded/Game
50%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS Rate
vs Leopards
2-1L
vs Tusker
0-1W
vs Kariobangi Sharks
0-1W
vs Posta Rangers
1-0W
vs Nairobi United
1-1D
Mathare United — Last 10 Matches
L
0-2D
2-2L
1-2W
3-0D
0-01.3
Goals/Game
1.4
Conceded/Game
20%
Clean Sheets
60%
BTTS Rate
vs APS Bomet
0-2L
vs Sofapaka
2-2D
vs Nairobi United
1-2L
vs Bidco United
3-0W
vs Police
0-0D
AI Model Accuracy
Historical precision for this prediction type
Home Win55%
Draw48%
Away Win51%
Risk Level
High Risk
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