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AI Top Pick

Home Win or Draw (1X)

VERY HIGH CONFIDENCELOW RISK

MONDAY, 4 MAY 2026

Serie A | 18:45

Kickoff: 19:45 GMT · 21:45 EAT · 19:45 WAT

Win Probability

Home Win %47.9%
Draw %31.0%
Away Win %21.1%
Over 2.5 Goals %8.1%

Match Analysis

Roma are favourites at 48%.
Low scoring expected. Over 2.5 only 8%.
Our AI model favours Roma.
Low goal expectation. Under 2.5 more likely.
Play 1X for value — covers the close margins.
Confident pick from the model.
I would play this as 1X (Home or Draw) just to be sure

Form & Stats

Roma — Last 10 Matches

W
2-0
D
1-1
W
3-0
L
2-5
W
1-0

2.0

Goals/Game

1.7

Conceded/Game

40%

Clean Sheets

60%

BTTS Rate

vs Bologna
0-2W
vs Atalanta
1-1D
vs Pisa
3-0W
vs Inter
5-2L
vs Lecce
1-0W

Fiorentina — Last 10 Matches

D
0-0
D
1-1
W
1-0
W
1-0
D
1-1

1.3

Goals/Game

0.6

Conceded/Game

50%

Clean Sheets

50%

BTTS Rate

vs Sassuolo
0-0D
vs Lecce
1-1D
vs Lazio
1-0W
vs Hellas Verona
0-1W
vs Inter
1-1D

AI Model Accuracy

Historical precision for this prediction type

Home Win61%
Draw43%
Away Win54%

Risk Level

Low Risk

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How this prediction was generated|Data updated: 2026-05-03 03:34 UTC
Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction: AI Pick 1X (Very High) · 4 May 2026