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Toluca vs Necaxa Prediction

VERY HIGH CONFIDENCEHIGH RISK

Liga MX

TOL
Toluca
1X
Mon, 3 Aug · 01:00
NEC
Necaxa

Win Probability

Home Win %35.4%
Draw %34.6%
Away Win %30.0%
Over 2.5 Goals %28.2%

Match Analysis

Toluca are favourites at 35%.
Very tight game. Both sides are close in the numbers.
Low scoring expected. Over 2.5 only 28%.
Our AI model favours Toluca.
Low goal expectation. Under 2.5 more likely.
Play 1X for value — covers the close margins.
Risky pick — could go either way.
Risky Game as both teams are strong. But Toluca should win this with 35.4% chance

Form & Stats

Toluca — Last 4 Matches

L
1-2
W
2-0
L
0-2
L
0-1

0.8

Goals/Game

1.3

Conceded/Game

25%

Clean Sheets

25%

BTTS Rate

vs Pumas UNAM
1-2L
vs Guadalajara
0-2W
vs Pachuca
2-0L
vs Pachuca
0-1L

Necaxa — Last 1 Matches

W
2-1

2.0

Goals/Game

1.0

Conceded/Game

0%

Clean Sheets

100%

BTTS Rate

vs Monterrey
2-1W

AI Model Accuracy

Historical precision for this prediction type

Home Win66%
Draw36%
Away Win45%

Risk Level

High Risk

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How this prediction was generated|Data updated: 2026-07-30 02:22 UTC