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Puebla vs Toluca Prediction

Liga MX

PUE
Puebla
X2
Sat, 5 Sept · 01:00
TOL
Toluca
VERY HIGH CONFIDENCEHIGH RISK

Win Probability

Home Win %32.3%
Draw %34.5%
Away Win %33.3%
Over 2.5 Goals %26.9%

Correct Score Prediction

PUE
Puebla
TOL
Toluca
1
:
1

11% probability · most likely scoreline

See all 3 scores

Match Analysis

Draw is most likely at 34%.
Very tight game. Both sides are close in the numbers.
Low scoring expected. Over 2.5 only 27%.
Our AI model favours Toluca.
Low goal expectation. Under 2.5 more likely.
Play X2 for value — covers the close margins.
Risky pick — could go either way.
Very Risky Game as both teams are strong. But Toluca should win this with 33.25% chance

Form & Stats

Puebla — Last 4 Matches

W
3-2
D
1-1
L
1-2
W
1-0

1.5

Goals/Game

1.3

Conceded/Game

25%

Clean Sheets

75%

BTTS Rate

vs Pachuca
2-3W
vs Guadalajara
1-1D
vs Cruz Azul
2-1L
vs Juárez
0-1W

Toluca — Last 5 Matches

W
2-1
D
0-0
W
3-1
L
1-2
W
2-0

1.6

Goals/Game

0.8

Conceded/Game

40%

Clean Sheets

60%

BTTS Rate

vs Querétaro
1-2W
vs Atlante
0-0D
vs Necaxa
3-1W
vs Pumas UNAM
1-2L
vs Guadalajara
0-2W

AI Model Accuracy

Historical precision for this prediction type

Home Win66%
Draw37%
Away Win44%

Risk Level

High Risk

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How this prediction was generated|Data updated: 2026-08-23 03:29 UTC