Win Probability
Home Win %43.9%
Draw %43.8%
Away Win %12.3%
Over 2.5 Goals %41.3%
Match Analysis
Arouca are favourites at 44%.
Low scoring expected. Over 2.5 only 41%.
Our AI model favours Arouca.
Play 1X for value — covers the close margins.
Confident pick from the model.
I would play this as 1X (Home or Draw) just to be sure
Form & Stats
Arouca — Last 8 Matches
W
1-0D
2-2L
1-2D
0-0W
2-11.4
Goals/Game
0.9
Conceded/Game
50%
Clean Sheets
38%
BTTS Rate
vs Estrela Amadora
1-0W
vs Sporting CP
2-2D
vs Santa Clara
1-2L
vs Estoril
0-0D
vs Marítimo
2-1W
Nacional — Last 7 Matches
L
2-3L
1-3L
0-2L
2-3L
0-11.3
Goals/Game
2.0
Conceded/Game
14%
Clean Sheets
57%
BTTS Rate
vs Rio Ave
3-2L
vs Alverca
1-3L
vs Sporting CP
2-0L
vs Estrela Amadora
2-3L
vs Vitória Guimarães
1-0L
AI Model Accuracy
Historical precision for this prediction type
Home Win64%
Draw45%
Away Win50%
Risk Level
Low Risk
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