Home or Draw (1X) — Prediction Accuracy
1X wins if the home side wins or draws. Because it covers two results out of three, it has a high bar to clear before it means anything.
Home or Draw (1X) — the record
Ahead of the baseline — 73.5% against a 66.7% baseline, over n = 6,513 settled tips in the last 365 days. That is 6.8 points above the baseline.
Recent form (last 90 days): 73.1% on n = 1,128 — below the headline figure.
This tip covers two of the three possible results, so picking at random already lands about 67% of the time. That — not 33% — is the bar it has to clear.
How this is measured
- Every home or draw tip published in the last 365 days is scored against the final result. Losing tips stay on the record.
- This tip covers two of the three possible results, so picking at random already lands about 67% of the time. That — not 33% — is the bar it has to clear.
- Fixtures the model could not price are excluded — they were never published as tips.
- Current verdict: Ahead of the baseline, on 6,513 settled tips.
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18+. These figures describe how our model has performed on settled matches. Past performance is not a guide to future results, and no prediction is certain. Bet only what you can afford to lose. Free, confidential help is available at BeGambleAware.org.
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