Draw or Away (X2) — Prediction Accuracy
X2 wins if the away side wins or draws. Because it covers two results out of three, it has a high bar to clear before it means anything.
Draw or Away (X2) — the record
Behind the baseline — 64.1% against a 66.7% baseline, over n = 4,517 settled tips in the last 365 days. That is 2.6 points below the baseline, so this market is not currently beating a coin flip. We publish it anyway — that is the point of this page.
Recent form (last 90 days): 64.6%on n = 1,264 — in line with or better than the headline figure.
This tip covers two of the three possible results, so picking at random already lands about 67% of the time. That — not 33% — is the bar it has to clear.
Draw or Away (X2) by league
Each league is measured against its own baseline, because leagues differ. Best edge first — the ones behind are further down, not removed.
Showing 56 leagues with 30+ settled matches. 12 leagues fall below that and are left out — too few matches to call it a hit rate.
- Uganda Premier League79%+12.5ptn=53
- South Africa Premier League76%+9.5ptn=42
- English Premier League76%+9.1ptn=124
- Ukrainian Premier League75%+8.8ptn=53
- Serie A75%+8.1ptn=123
- Ligue 275%+8.0ptn=95
- UAE Pro League75%+7.9ptn=63
- Greece Super League74%+7.3ptn=73
- Ligi kuu Bara73%+5.8ptn=51
- Club Friendlies 172%+5.2ptn=32
- Bundesliga71%+4.3ptn=93
- Superliga71%+4.0ptn=58
- K League 169%+2.5ptn=65
- Npl Queensland69%+2.5ptn=39
- Jupiler League69%+2.0ptn=80
- Ligue 169%+2.0ptn=67
- Eredivisie68%+1.7ptn=57
- Major League Soccer67%+0.7ptn=92
- Cambodia C-League67%-0.0ptn=39
- Women's Super League67%-0.0ptn=36
- FA Cup66%-0.3ptn=268
- China Super League66%-0.7ptn=50
- Premier League Cup66%-1.0ptn=35
- China League One65%-1.2ptn=55
- Liga Profesional de Fútbol65%-1.7ptn=100
- 2. Bundesliga64%-2.2ptn=76
- Npl Victoria64%-2.3ptn=45
- Ekstraklasa64%-2.6ptn=64
- Kenya Premier League64%-3.1ptn=66
- A-League Men64%-3.1ptn=33
- Switzerland Super League64%-3.2ptn=74
- Allsvenskan63%-3.7ptn=73
- Chance Liga63%-3.8ptn=70
- New South Wales63%-3.9ptn=94
- Challenger Pro League63%-4.1ptn=91
- Jamaica Premier League63%-4.2ptn=104
- English League 163%-4.2ptn=88
- La Liga62%-4.8ptn=113
- World Cup 202662%-4.9ptn=34
- Serie B62%-5.1ptn=146
- Champions League62%-5.2ptn=65
- Enterprise National League61%-5.9ptn=79
- Liga Portugal59%-7.4ptn=59
- English League Championship58%-8.2ptn=183
- English League 258%-8.3ptn=185
- Brazil Serie A58%-8.7ptn=88
- Eerste Divisie57%-9.3ptn=108
- Liga MX57%-9.6ptn=91
- Romania Liga 156%-10.3ptn=78
- Europe League54%-12.5ptn=59
- Tippeligaen54%-12.9ptn=52
- Hong Kong Premier League52%-15.2ptn=33
- Ghana Premier League50%-16.7ptn=32
- Admiral Bundesliga48%-18.8ptn=48
- 3. Liga46%-21.1ptn=90
- Npfl34%-32.4ptn=70
The amber line on each bar is that league's own baseline. Green means the model is ahead of it, grey means it is not.
How this is measured
- Every draw or away tip published in the last 365 days is scored against the final result. Losing tips stay on the record.
- This tip covers two of the three possible results, so picking at random already lands about 67% of the time. That — not 33% — is the bar it has to clear.
- Fixtures the model could not price are excluded — they were never published as tips.
- Current verdict: Behind the baseline, on 4,517 settled tips.
Other markets
Get draw or away tips daily
Full daily list, match analysis, and the same published record inside the app
18+. These figures describe how our model has performed on settled matches. Past performance is not a guide to future results, and no prediction is certain. Bet only what you can afford to lose. Free, confidential help is available at BeGambleAware.org.
© 2016-2026 Football AI - All rights reserved.