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Both Teams to Score — Prediction Accuracy

BTTS asks one question: did both sides score? Here is how often our model called it right, against how often it happened.

Both Teams to Score — the record

Hit rate
54.3%
Coin-flip baseline
51.9%
Landed
269
Missed
226

Slightly ahead of the baseline 54.3% against a 51.9% baseline, over n = 495 settled tips in the last 365 days. That is 2.4 points above the baseline.

The bar is whichever blanket call would have scored higher over the same matches — always saying both teams score, or always saying they don't. Both teams scored in 51.9% of these matches, so always saying "yes" would have scored 51.9% and always saying "no" 48.1%. The higher of those is the bar.

0255075100Jul 26: 19 of 41 (46.3%)JulAug 26: 238 of 436 (54.6%)AugSep 26: 12 of 18 (66.7%)Sepcoin-flip baseline 52%
Month by month, last 3 months with at least 5 settled tips. Grey bars are months below the baseline — they stay on the record.

Both Teams to Score by league

Each league is measured against its own baseline, because leagues differ. Best edge first — the ones behind are further down, not removed.

Showing 10 leagues with 30+ settled matches. 4 leagues fall below that and are left out — too few matches to call it a hit rate.

  • Ukrainian Premier League77%+25.5pt
  • Club Friendlies 167%+15.4pt
  • South Africa Premier League64%+11.7pt
  • Liga MX58%+6.4pt
  • Admiral Bundesliga57%+4.7pt
  • New South Wales55%+2.8pt
  • Romania Liga 151%-0.9pt
  • Champions League50%-1.9pt
  • K League 143%-9.1pt
  • Allsvenskan41%-10.6pt

The amber line on each bar is that league's own baseline. Green means the model is ahead of it, grey means it is not.

How this is measured

  • Every BTTS tip published in the last 365 days is scored against the final result. Losing tips stay on the record.
  • The bar is whichever blanket call would have scored higher over the same matches — always saying both teams score, or always saying they don't. Both teams scored in 51.9% of these matches, so always saying "yes" would have scored 51.9% and always saying "no" 48.1%. The higher of those is the bar.
  • Fixtures the model could not price are excluded — they were never published as tips.
  • Current verdict: Slightly ahead of the baseline, on 495 settled tips.

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18+. These figures describe how our model has performed on settled matches. Past performance is not a guide to future results, and no prediction is certain. Bet only what you can afford to lose. Free, confidential help is available at BeGambleAware.org.

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