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Both Teams to Score — Prediction Accuracy

BTTS asks one question: did both sides score? Here is how often our model called it right, against how often it happened.

Both Teams to Score — the record

Hit rate
52.8%
Coin-flip baseline
51.1%
Landed
190
Missed
170

Slightly ahead of the baseline 52.8% against a 51.1% baseline, over n = 360 settled tips in the last 365 days. That is 1.7 points above the baseline.

The bar is whichever blanket call would have scored higher over the same matches — always saying both teams score, or always saying they don't. Both teams scored in 51.1% of these matches, so always saying "yes" would have scored 51.1% and always saying "no" 48.9%. The higher of those is the bar.

0255075100Jul 26: 19 of 41 (46.3%)JulAug 26: 171 of 319 (53.6%)Augcoin-flip baseline 51%
Month by month, last 2 months with at least 5 settled tips. Grey bars are months below the baseline — they stay on the record.

Both Teams to Score by league

Each league is measured against its own baseline, because leagues differ. Best edge first — the ones behind are further down, not removed.

Showing 5 leagues with 30+ settled matches. 9 leagues fall below that and are left out — too few matches to call it a hit rate.

  • Club Friendlies 167%+16.2pt
  • New South Wales59%+8.3pt
  • Romania Liga 151%+0.2pt
  • Champions League46%-5.2pt
  • Allsvenskan36%-15.0pt

The amber line on each bar is that league's own baseline. Green means the model is ahead of it, grey means it is not.

How this is measured

  • Every BTTS tip published in the last 365 days is scored against the final result. Losing tips stay on the record.
  • The bar is whichever blanket call would have scored higher over the same matches — always saying both teams score, or always saying they don't. Both teams scored in 51.1% of these matches, so always saying "yes" would have scored 51.1% and always saying "no" 48.9%. The higher of those is the bar.
  • Fixtures the model could not price are excluded — they were never published as tips.
  • Current verdict: Slightly ahead of the baseline, on 360 settled tips.

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18+. These figures describe how our model has performed on settled matches. Past performance is not a guide to future results, and no prediction is certain. Bet only what you can afford to lose. Free, confidential help is available at BeGambleAware.org.

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