Away Win — Prediction Accuracy
An away win tip backs one result out of three. Here is how often ours landed, measured against what guessing would have achieved.
Away Win — the record
Ahead of the baseline — 47.9% against a 33.3% baseline, over n = 944 settled tips in the last 365 days. That is 14.6 points above the baseline.
Recent form (last 90 days): 55.1%on n = 98 — in line with or better than the headline figure.
Picking one of three results at random lands about 33% of the time, so that is the bar this has to clear.
Away Win by league
Each league is measured against its own baseline, because leagues differ. Best edge first — the ones behind are further down, not removed.
Showing 6 leagues with 30+ settled matches. 60 leagues fall below that and are left out — too few matches to call it a hit rate.
- Liga Portugal74%+40.8ptn=54
- WC Qualification Europe63%+30.0ptn=30
- La Liga46%+13.0ptn=41
- Champions League39%+5.6ptn=36
- English League 231%-2.0ptn=32
- English League 130%-3.6ptn=37
The amber line on each bar is that league's own baseline. Green means the model is ahead of it, grey means it is not.
How this is measured
- Every away win tip published in the last 365 days is scored against the final result. Losing tips stay on the record.
- Picking one of three results at random lands about 33% of the time, so that is the bar this has to clear.
- Fixtures the model could not price are excluded — they were never published as tips.
- Current verdict: Ahead of the baseline, on 944 settled tips.
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18+. These figures describe how our model has performed on settled matches. Past performance is not a guide to future results, and no prediction is certain. Bet only what you can afford to lose. Free, confidential help is available at BeGambleAware.org.
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