Win Probability
Home Win %13.6%
Draw %35.9%
Away Win %50.5%
Goal Expectancy
Goals our model projects for each side (expected goals).
Aston Villa1.25
Manchester City1.93
Total expected goals
3.18
One-sidedHigh-scoring
Correct Score Prediction
11% probability · most likely scoreline
Match Analysis
Manchester City are favourites at 51%.
Our AI model favours Manchester City.
Play X2 for value — covers the close margins.
Confident pick from the model.
I would play this as X2 (Away or Draw) just to be sure
Form & Stats
Aston Villa — Last 7 Matches
W
3-2L
1-2W
3-2D
0-0L
0-11.1
Goals/Game
1.9
Conceded/Game
14%
Clean Sheets
57%
BTTS Rate
vs Tottenham Hotspur
2-3W
vs Nottingham Forest
1-2L
vs Club Brugge
2-3W
vs Hull City
0-0D
vs Arsenal
0-1L
Manchester City — Last 8 Matches
W
5-3W
1-0W
2-0W
1-0W
4-12.4
Goals/Game
0.9
Conceded/Game
38%
Clean Sheets
63%
BTTS Rate
vs Sunderland
5-3W
vs Manchester United
0-1W
vs Porto
0-2W
vs Coventry City
1-0W
vs Crystal Palace
1-4W
AI Model Accuracy
Historical precision for this prediction type
Home Win65%
Draw38%
Away Win50%
Risk Level
Low Risk
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