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AI Top Pick

Home Win or Draw (1X)

VERY HIGH CONFIDENCELOW RISK

THURSDAY, 7 MAY 2026

Europe League | 19:00

Kickoff: 20:00 GMT · 22:00 EAT · 20:00 WAT

Win Probability

Home Win %31.6%
Draw %40.7%
Away Win %27.7%
Over 2.5 Goals %50.0%

Match Analysis

Draw is most likely at 41%.
Very tight game. Both sides are close in the numbers.
Decent goal potential. Over 2.5 at 50%.
Our AI model favours Aston Villa.
Play 1X for value — covers the close margins.
Confident pick from the model.
I would play this as 1X (Home or Draw) just to be sure

Form & Stats

Aston Villa — Last 10 Matches

L
1-2
L
0-1
L
0-1
W
4-3
W
4-0

1.8

Goals/Game

1.2

Conceded/Game

30%

Clean Sheets

50%

BTTS Rate

vs Tottenham Hotspur
1-2L
vs Nottingham Forest
1-0L
vs Fulham
1-0L
vs Sunderland
4-3W
vs Bologna
4-0W

Nottingham Forest — Last 10 Matches

W
1-0
W
5-0
W
4-1
W
1-0
D
1-1

1.8

Goals/Game

0.6

Conceded/Game

50%

Clean Sheets

40%

BTTS Rate

vs Aston Villa
1-0W
vs Sunderland
0-5W
vs Burnley
4-1W
vs Porto
1-0W
vs Aston Villa
1-1D

Head to Head — Last 2 Meetings

0

Aston Villa

1

Draws

1

Nottingham Forest

30 Apr 26Nottingham Forest 1-0 Aston Villa
12 Apr 26Nottingham Forest 1-1 Aston Villa

AI Model Accuracy

Historical precision for this prediction type

Home Win67%
Draw36%
Away Win47%

Risk Level

Low Risk

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How this prediction was generated|Data updated: 2026-05-04 07:01 UTC
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Prediction: AI Pick 1X (Very High) · 7 May 2026