Win Probability
Home Win %28.7%
Draw %32.8%
Away Win %38.4%
Goal Expectancy
Goals our model projects for each side (expected goals).
Aston Villa1.42
Nottingham Forest1.15
Total expected goals
2.57
Slight edgeAverage
Correct Score Prediction
12% probability · most likely scoreline
Match Analysis
Nottingham Forest are favourites at 38%.
Very tight game. Both sides are close in the numbers.
Our AI model favours Nottingham Forest.
Play 1X for value — covers the close margins.
Confident pick from the model.
I would play this as X2 (Away or Draw) just to be sure
Form & Stats
Aston Villa — Last 10 Matches
W
2-1W
3-1W
1-0W
6-0D
2-22.1
Goals/Game
1.1
Conceded/Game
30%
Clean Sheets
60%
BTTS Rate
vs Manchester City
2-1W
vs Viking
3-1W
vs Newcastle United
0-1W
vs Fenerbahçe
6-0W
vs Brentford
2-2D
Nottingham Forest — Last 8 Matches
D
1-1L
0-1L
1-3L
0-1W
2-10.8
Goals/Game
1.3
Conceded/Game
13%
Clean Sheets
50%
BTTS Rate
vs Ipswich Town
1-1D
vs Arsenal
0-1L
vs Crystal Palace
3-1L
vs Coventry City
0-1L
vs Aston Villa
1-2W
Head to Head — Last 1 Meetings
0
Aston Villa
0
Draws
1
Nottingham Forest
12 Sept 26Aston Villa 1-2 Nottingham Forest
AI Model Accuracy
Historical precision for this prediction type
Home Win64%
Draw38%
Away Win51%
Risk Level
Low Risk
Final Result
Aston Villa
1
Nottingham Forest
2
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