Win Probability
Home Win %49.2%
Draw %32.9%
Away Win %17.9%
Goal Expectancy
Goals our model projects for each side (expected goals).
Aston Villa1.54
Sunderland1.04
Total expected goals
2.58
Slight edgeAverage
Match Analysis
Aston Villa are favourites at 49%.
Our AI model favours Aston Villa.
Play 1X for value — covers the close margins.
Confident pick from the model.
I would play this as 1X (Home or Draw) just to be sure
Form & Stats
Aston Villa — Last 10 Matches
L
0-3D
1-1W
2-1W
3-1W
1-02.2
Goals/Game
1.4
Conceded/Game
20%
Clean Sheets
70%
BTTS Rate
vs FC Barcelona
3-0L
vs Fulham
1-1D
vs Manchester City
2-1W
vs Viking
3-1W
vs Newcastle United
0-1W
Sunderland — Last 10 Matches
L
0-2L
1-3D
0-0D
1-1L
0-20.8
Goals/Game
1.8
Conceded/Game
20%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS Rate
vs Dinamo Zagreb
0-2L
vs Coventry City
3-1L
vs Leeds United
0-0D
vs Lech Poznań
1-1D
vs AFC Bournemouth
2-0L
AI Model Accuracy
Historical precision for this prediction type
Home Win65%
Draw36%
Away Win54%
Risk Level
Low Risk
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