Win Probability
Home Win %50.9%
Draw %30.8%
Away Win %18.2%
31%
Draw prob
Goal Expectancy
Goals our model projects for each side (expected goals).
Chelsea1.67
Leeds United1.07
Total expected goals
2.74
Slight edgeAverage
Match Analysis
Chelsea are favourites at 51%.
Our AI model favours Chelsea.
Play 1X for value — covers the close margins.
Confident pick from the model.
I would play this as 1X (Home or Draw) just to be sure
Form & Stats
Chelsea — Last 10 Matches
W
2-0L
0-2W
2-0W
5-1L
0-32.2
Goals/Game
1.6
Conceded/Game
20%
Clean Sheets
60%
BTTS Rate
vs Manchester United
2-0W
vs Tottenham Hotspur
0-2L
vs Everton
0-2W
vs AFC Bournemouth
5-1W
vs Brentford
3-0L
Leeds United — Last 10 Matches
W
1-0L
0-2D
0-0D
1-1L
1-21.0
Goals/Game
0.8
Conceded/Game
40%
Clean Sheets
50%
BTTS Rate
vs Tottenham Hotspur
1-0W
vs AFC Bournemouth
2-0L
vs Sunderland
0-0D
vs Manchester United
1-1D
vs Arsenal
2-1L
AI Model Accuracy
Historical precision for this prediction type
Home Win65%
Draw36%
Away Win54%
Risk Level
Low Risk
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