DC
Derby County1X
Sat, 12 Sept · 11:30
BC
Birmingham CityWin Probability
Home Win %40.9%
Draw %36.1%
Away Win %23.1%
Over 2.5 Goals %25.6%
Correct Score Prediction
DC
Derby CountyBC
Birmingham City1
:
0
13% probability · most likely scoreline
Match Analysis
Derby County are favourites at 41%.
Low scoring expected. Over 2.5 only 26%.
Our AI model favours Derby County.
Low goal expectation. Under 2.5 more likely.
Play 1X for value — covers the close margins.
Confident pick from the model.
I would play this as 1X (Home or Draw) just to be sure
Form & Stats
Derby County — Last 3 Matches
L
0-3D
2-2L
1-21.0
Goals/Game
2.3
Conceded/Game
0%
Clean Sheets
67%
BTTS Rate
vs Swansea City
0-3L
vs Cardiff City
2-2D
vs Charlton Athletic
2-1L
Birmingham City — Last 4 Matches
W
2-1D
2-2D
0-0D
2-21.5
Goals/Game
1.3
Conceded/Game
25%
Clean Sheets
75%
BTTS Rate
vs Wrexham
1-2W
vs Bristol City
2-2D
vs Sheffield United
0-0D
vs FC Barcelona
2-2D
AI Model Accuracy
Historical precision for this prediction type
Home Win56%
Draw44%
Away Win46%
Risk Level
Low Risk
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