Win Probability
Home Win %38.2%
Draw %27.8%
Away Win %33.9%
Over 2.5 Goals %40.0%
Match Analysis
Derby County are favourites at 38%.
Very tight game. Both sides are close in the numbers.
Low scoring expected. Over 2.5 only 40%.
Our AI model favours Derby County.
Play 1X for value — covers the close margins.
Risky pick — could go either way.
Risky Game as both teams are strong. But Derby County should win this with 38.24% chance
Form & Stats
Derby County — Last 10 Matches
W
3-1L
0-4L
1-4D
1-1L
0-10.9
Goals/Game
2.0
Conceded/Game
0%
Clean Sheets
70%
BTTS Rate
vs Bolton Wanderers
3-1W
vs Norwich City
0-4L
vs Millwall
4-1L
vs Sheffield United
1-1D
vs Stoke City
0-1L
Watford — Last 10 Matches
D
0-0W
1-0L
2-3L
0-1W
2-00.9
Goals/Game
1.7
Conceded/Game
30%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS Rate
vs Middlesbrough
0-0D
vs Lincoln City
1-0W
vs Norwich City
3-2L
vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
1-0L
vs Charlton Athletic
2-0W
AI Model Accuracy
Historical precision for this prediction type
Home Win62%
Draw32%
Away Win45%
Risk Level
High Risk
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