Win Probability
Home Win %34.4%
Draw %28.1%
Away Win %37.6%
Goal Expectancy
Goals our model projects for each side (expected goals).
Manchester United1.68
Aston Villa1.19
Total expected goals
2.87
Slight edgeAverage
Correct Score Prediction
11% probability · most likely scoreline
Match Analysis
Aston Villa are favourites at 38%.
Very tight game. Both sides are close in the numbers.
Our AI model favours Aston Villa.
Play 1X for value — covers the close margins.
Risky pick — could go either way.
Risky Game as both teams are strong. But Aston Villa should win this with 37.56% chance
Form & Stats
Manchester United — Last 10 Matches
L
0-3L
1-4D
1-1L
0-2D
1-11.5
Goals/Game
1.7
Conceded/Game
10%
Clean Sheets
60%
BTTS Rate
vs AFC Bournemouth
0-3L
vs Como
4-1L
vs Leeds United
1-1D
vs Atlético de Madrid
2-0L
vs Tottenham Hotspur
1-1D
Aston Villa — Last 10 Matches
W
2-1W
3-1W
1-0W
6-0D
2-22.1
Goals/Game
1.1
Conceded/Game
30%
Clean Sheets
60%
BTTS Rate
vs Manchester City
2-1W
vs Viking
3-1W
vs Newcastle United
0-1W
vs Fenerbahçe
6-0W
vs Brentford
2-2D
AI Model Accuracy
Historical precision for this prediction type
Home Win65%
Draw39%
Away Win50%
Risk Level
High Risk
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