Win Probability
Home Win %25.6%
Draw %36.1%
Away Win %38.3%
33%
Draw prob
Goal Expectancy
Goals our model projects for each side (expected goals).
Newcastle United1.68
Aston Villa1.19
Total expected goals
2.87
Slight edgeAverage
Correct Score Prediction
12% probability · most likely scoreline
Match Analysis
Aston Villa are favourites at 38%.
Our AI model favours Aston Villa.
Play X2 for value — covers the close margins.
Confident pick from the model.
I would play this as X2 (Away or Draw) just to be sure
Form & Stats
Newcastle United — Last 5 Matches
W
2-1L
1-4D
2-2W
2-0D
2-21.8
Goals/Game
1.8
Conceded/Game
20%
Clean Sheets
80%
BTTS Rate
vs Hull City
2-1W
vs Leeds United
4-1L
vs AFC Bournemouth
2-2D
vs Tottenham Hotspur
0-2W
vs Liverpool
2-2D
Aston Villa — Last 7 Matches
W
3-2L
1-2W
3-2D
0-0L
0-11.1
Goals/Game
1.9
Conceded/Game
14%
Clean Sheets
57%
BTTS Rate
vs Tottenham Hotspur
2-3W
vs Nottingham Forest
1-2L
vs Club Brugge
2-3W
vs Hull City
0-0D
vs Arsenal
0-1L
AI Model Accuracy
Historical precision for this prediction type
Home Win65%
Draw38%
Away Win50%
Risk Level
Low Risk
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