Football AIFootball AI

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa Prediction

VERY HIGH CONFIDENCE✓LOW RISKLIKELY DRAW · 33%

Win Probability

Home Win %25.6%
Draw %36.1%
Away Win %38.3%

Draw alert

This one ends in a draw

Our draw model backs it. More on today's draw tips.

33%
Draw prob
Get draw picks

Goal Expectancy

Goals our model projects for each side (expected goals).

Newcastle United1.68
Aston Villa1.19
Total expected goals
2.87
Slight edgeAverage

Correct Score Prediction

12% probability · most likely scoreline

See all 3 scores

Match Analysis

Aston Villa are favourites at 38%.
Our AI model favours Aston Villa.
Play X2 for value — covers the close margins.
Confident pick from the model.
I would play this as X2 (Away or Draw) just to be sure

Form & Stats

Newcastle United — Last 5 Matches

W
2-1
L
1-4
D
2-2
W
2-0
D
2-2

1.8

Goals/Game

1.8

Conceded/Game

20%

Clean Sheets

80%

BTTS Rate

vs Hull City
2-1W
vs Leeds United
4-1L
vs AFC Bournemouth
2-2D
vs Tottenham Hotspur
0-2W
vs Liverpool
2-2D

Aston Villa — Last 7 Matches

W
3-2
L
1-2
W
3-2
D
0-0
L
0-1

1.1

Goals/Game

1.9

Conceded/Game

14%

Clean Sheets

57%

BTTS Rate

vs Tottenham Hotspur
2-3W
vs Nottingham Forest
1-2L
vs Club Brugge
2-3W
vs Hull City
0-0D
vs Arsenal
0-1L

AI Model Accuracy

Historical precision for this prediction type

Home Win65%
Draw38%
Away Win50%

Risk Level

Low Risk

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How this prediction was generated|Data updated: 2026-10-04 02:28 UTC