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AI Top Pick

Home Win or Draw (1X)

VERY HIGH CONFIDENCEHIGH RISK

SATURDAY, 9 MAY 2026

Npl Queensland | 09:30

Kickoff: 10:30 GMT · 12:30 EAT · 10:30 WAT

QL
Queensland Lions
?:?
MCE
Moreton City Excelsior

Win Probability

Home Win %34.7%
Draw %34.8%
Away Win %30.5%
Over 2.5 Goals %26.1%

Match Analysis

Draw is most likely at 35%.
Very tight game. Both sides are close in the numbers.
Low scoring expected. Over 2.5 only 26%.
Our AI model favours Queensland Lions.
Low goal expectation. Under 2.5 more likely.
Play 1X for value — covers the close margins.
Risky pick — could go either way.
Very Risky Game as both teams are strong. But Queensland Lions should win this with 34.67% chance

Form & Stats

Queensland Lions — Last 8 Matches

L
2-3
W
1-0
W
5-0
D
2-2
W
4-0

2.5

Goals/Game

1.3

Conceded/Game

38%

Clean Sheets

63%

BTTS Rate

vs Peninsula Power
3-2L
vs Gold Coast United
1-0W
vs Wynnum Wolves FC
0-5W
vs Brisbane City
2-2D
vs Magic United
4-0W

Moreton City Excelsior — Last 8 Matches

W
6-0
W
4-1
W
2-1
W
5-0
W
3-0

3.5

Goals/Game

0.8

Conceded/Game

38%

Clean Sheets

63%

BTTS Rate

vs Brisbane Roar II
6-0W
vs Peninsula Power
1-4W
vs Gold Coast United
2-1W
vs Magic United
0-5W
vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
3-0W

AI Model Accuracy

Historical precision for this prediction type

Home Win59%
Draw30%
Away Win49%

Risk Level

High Risk

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How this prediction was generated|Data updated: 2026-05-05 06:58 UTC