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AI Top Pick

Home Win or Draw (1X)

VERY HIGH CONFIDENCEHIGH RISK

SATURDAY, 9 MAY 2026

Npl Queensland | 09:30

Kickoff: 10:30 GMT · 12:30 EAT · 10:30 WAT

QL
Queensland Lions
2:0
MCE
Moreton City Excelsior

Win Probability

Home Win %33.9%
Draw %34.8%
Away Win %31.3%
Over 2.5 Goals %21.8%

Match Analysis

Draw is most likely at 35%.
Very tight game. Both sides are close in the numbers.
Low scoring expected. Over 2.5 only 22%.
Our AI model favours Queensland Lions.
Low goal expectation. Under 2.5 more likely.
Play 1X for value — covers the close margins.
Risky pick — could go either way.
Very Risky Game as both teams are strong. But Queensland Lions should win this with 33.92% chance

Form & Stats

Queensland Lions — Last 9 Matches

W
2-0
L
2-3
W
1-0
W
5-0
D
2-2

2.4

Goals/Game

1.1

Conceded/Game

44%

Clean Sheets

56%

BTTS Rate

vs Moreton City Excelsior
2-0W
vs Peninsula Power
3-2L
vs Gold Coast United
1-0W
vs Wynnum Wolves FC
0-5W
vs Brisbane City
2-2D

Moreton City Excelsior — Last 9 Matches

L
0-2
W
6-0
W
4-1
W
2-1
W
5-0

3.1

Goals/Game

0.9

Conceded/Game

33%

Clean Sheets

56%

BTTS Rate

vs Queensland Lions
2-0L
vs Brisbane Roar II
6-0W
vs Peninsula Power
1-4W
vs Gold Coast United
2-1W
vs Magic United
0-5W

Head to Head — Last 1 Meetings

1

Queensland Lions

0

Draws

0

Moreton City Excelsior

9 May 26Queensland Lions 2-0 Moreton City Excelsior

AI Model Accuracy

Historical precision for this prediction type

Home Win59%
Draw30%
Away Win49%

Risk Level

High Risk

Final Result

Queensland Lions

2

Moreton City Excelsior

0

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How this prediction was generated|Data updated: 2026-05-12 15:00 UTC