Match Outcome — Accuracy by Tip Type
Every match-outcome tip from the last 365 days, split by type and scored against the result. Each row carries its own baseline, because a tip covering two of three results starts from a much higher bar than one covering a single result.
By tip type
| Tip | Hit rate | Baseline | Edge | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home or draw (1X) | 73.7% | 66.7% | +7.0pt | 6,846 |
| Draw or away (X2) | 64.1% | 66.7% | -2.6pt | 4,517 |
| Home win | 58.3% | 33.3% | +25.0pt | 2,307 |
| Away win | 48.5% | 33.3% | +15.2pt | 964 |
| Win either way (12) | 72.7% | 66.7% | +6.0pt | 293 |
| Draw | 26.5% | 33.3% | -6.8pt | 136 |
Edge is hit rate minus the baseline for that tip type. A single result (1, X, 2) has a 33.3% baseline; a double chance (1X, X2, 12) has 66.7%, because it already covers two outcomes out of three.
All match-outcome tips, month by month
10,000 landed from 15,063 settled tips — 66.4% against a volume-weighted baseline of 59.1%. Ahead of the baseline.
Per-market detail
Follow the picks as they land
Daily tips, full match analysis, and this same record inside the app
18+. These figures describe how our model has performed on settled matches. Past performance is not a guide to future results, and no prediction is certain. Bet only what you can afford to lose. Free, confidential help is available at BeGambleAware.org.
© 2016-2026 Football AI - All rights reserved.